Housing Needs Assessment · part 4 of 5
Where it's heading
What does demand look like in 5, 10 and 20 years? Built from cached public datasets (Census, DOLA, HUD) with live Census API fallbacks.
Screening tool only. Data snapshots are for early-stage community planning and site research using public Census, DOLA, and HUD datasets. They are not a certified housing needs study and do not substitute for a CHFA-required market analysis or formal due diligence.
How this jurisdiction compares to its county
A county average hides its own spread. These are the same measures computed the same way at both levels.
Select a geography above to load housing data
Executive Snapshot
Rental Affordability Gap by AMI Tier
—Renter households who need affordable rental units at each income band. Both card rows below count renter households (demand) — the first cumulative (≤ each AMI; includes everyone below), the second the non-overlapping cohort within each tier; neither row subtracts existing units. The separate Net of existing affordable supply box further down is the one that nets out rental units already priced affordable, to estimate how many still need to be built. Source: ACS B25118 renter-household income + B25063 gross rent against HUD 2025 income limits, with HUD CHAS as a county-level fallback. Owner households are excluded — the rental gap counts only households competing for rental units.
ACS 2020–2024 households under the unadjusted county 30% AMI cutoff; the CHAS tier table below uses HUD's size-adjusted limits and an older window, so its counts run lower. See methodology.
Renter households who need affordable rental units — cumulative (≤ this AMI; includes everyone below)
Households who need affordable rental units — within this tier (non-overlapping; 7 cells sum to ≤100%)
Need distribution across AMI bands — each band's share of the ≤100% total
Commuting: mode share
Travel mode split (ACS S0801).
Commuting: inflow & outflow (LEHD LODES)
Workplace-based flows: inflow = jobs located here filled by residents of other areas; outflow = residents working elsewhere; within = live+work here. At the statewide level, inflow/outflow values are suppressed because summing all county OD files double-counts inter-county commuters. Select a county for accurate commuting flows.
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Scenario-based demographic projections
Read-only cohort-component projections under fixed low, baseline, and high growth scenarios, aligned with DLG HNA methodology. The comparison charts keep a shared observed base year and scale only the projected growth increment from DOLA-aligned assumptions. To model custom fertility, migration, or mortality assumptions, use the dedicated Scenario Builder → for the selected geography.
Moderate growth following recent historical trends.
Source: DOLA State Demography Office — Components of Change (current vintage). DOLA SDO
Population projection by scenario
Baseline plus growth-increment sensitivity bands from DOLA SYA data.
Selected scenario detail
Single-scenario population trend over the 10-year horizon.
Projected households over time
DOLA household formation forecast — drives housing unit demand calculations per DLG methodology.
Projected housing demand by affordability tier (renter households)
Estimated renter households by AMI tier over the 10-year horizon. Used to identify missing AMI tiers for LIHTC applications. Based on statewide CO income distributions (ACS CHAS).
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Labor Market Context
Workplace-area employment estimates from LEHD LODES. Job totals, wage distribution, and top industries display when the LEHD WAC cache is populated; commuting flows are available now from the OD summary.
Wage Distribution
High / medium / low wage jobs by count (LEHD WAC CE01–CE03).
Top Industries by Employment
Top NAICS 2-digit sectors from LEHD WAC workplace jobs (CNS fields).
Commuting Flows & Methodology
Data source: LEHD LODES8 OD main (JT00) — all workers, all jobs. WAC (Workplace Area Characteristics) data provides job totals, wage bins, and NAICS sectors. LODES Technical Documentation · LODES8 Downloads
Wages vs Housing Affordability
What income do workers need to afford median rent, median home, and AMI-60% LIHTC units? How many local workers earn enough? Combines ACS median rent & home value with LEHD wage tier counts to show the affordability gap by worker type.
Economic Indicators
Employment trends, industry mix, and wage analysis for the selected geography. Data from LEHD LODES and BLS. Updates when county-level LEHD data is cached.
Colorado labour market & affordability
Employment Trend
Total employment over time for the selected area.
Wage-Band Job Trend
Jobs by LEHD WAC wage band over time (CE01–CE03).
Colorado Market Conditions
Market conditions by region — from Bridge MLS data or Colorado Association of REALTORS (CAR) reports. Supports early-stage LIHTC site feasibility screening.
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Data: Bridge Data Output public assessments & transactions · Updated weekly via GitHub Actions · Data Quality Dashboard
Methodology & Data Sources
This section updates as you change geographies and as cached datasets become available. All sources link to the primary publisher.
Primary Data Sources
Data refreshes automatically via GitHub Actions. Full data sources inventory · Data freshness status